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TrendM15–H1Pro

Williams %R Scalp strategy: rules and backtest

Williams %R Scalp catches short reversals out of the overbought and oversold zones on the Williams %R indicator.

Strategy parameters
ParameterValue
TypeTrend
TimeframeM15–H1
ComplexityPro
InstrumentEUR/USD

How the signal works

Williams %R is the same calculation of where the close sits within the range as the stochastic, but on an inverted scale from −100 to 0. The strategy enters when %R exits the zones below −80 (oversold) and above −20 (overbought), aiming for a return to the midpoint.

The indicator is very sharp — the original formula has no smoothing — so there are many signals and even more noise. In a range this gives frequent entry points; in a trend a stream of premature counter-trend signals.

Verification on real data

This strategy’s rule is run on real quotes with no parameter fitting to history. The rule tested was “Williams %R: reversion from overbought territory”:

  • Long as %R exits the zone below −80 to the upside (oversold).
  • Short as it exits the zone above −20 to the downside (overbought).
  • Exit when %R returns to −50.
+4.3%
Return / year (CAGR)
4.5%
Max drawdown
0.83
Sharpe ratio
68%
Winning trades
28
Trades in period
64%
Time in market
98100102103105
StrategyBuy and hold
Equity curve of the rule versus passive buy-and-hold on a EUR/USD sample, 2025-06-16 — 2026-07-20. On this sample the strategy beat buy-and-hold. This is a result on one instrument over one period — an illustration of the mechanics, not a promise of returns.
How to read this result
The figures above are the behaviour of the rule on a specific sample of one instrument over a limited period, including costs — not an assessment of the strategy "in general". On another market or in a different phase the result would differ. The value of the run is its honesty: the same rule on the same data will reproduce these numbers for anyone who repeats the calculation.

Pros and cons

Pros
  • Many signals for active trading in a range.
  • A fast reaction without smoothing.
  • Symmetric entry zones and a clear exit target.
Cons
  • The noisiest of the range oscillators.
  • In a trend it presses against a boundary, giving false entries.
  • The inverted scale confuses: overbought is at the top.

Pitfalls

The main confusion is the inverted scale: the overbought zone sits at the top of the chart, near zero, and reading −20 as oversold is a common mistake. The second trap is trading raw %R without smoothing on a calm instrument, where it touches the extremes almost every bar and breeds random signals.

Who it suits

For active traders of ranging instruments who accept a high noise level in exchange for frequent signals. In a trend the approach must be switched off.

Frequently asked questions

How does Williams %R differ from the stochastic?

Practically only in the coordinate system: %R measures the distance from the high downward on a negative scale, the stochastic from the low upward on a positive one. In substance it is the same calculation.

Why is the scale negative?

The period high is taken as the zero point, and deviation downward is expressed as a negative number. Because of this the overbought zone ends up at the top of the chart, which regularly confuses traders.

Should you add %R to the stochastic?

No: they carry the same information, and having both creates a false sense of a signal confirmed by two independent sources.

From research to application

In our Allocation product we implemented these algorithms with all the nuances covered across the portal.

Learn about Allocation